Sunday, October 31, 2010

Pollling on some of the Initiatives.

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Latest from Survey USA: (Bold faced response percentages represent my recommendations)

I-1053 Restoring the 2/3rds Legislative or popular vote to jack up our taxes.

55% -Yes

36% - No

Support with both genders and all ages, Republicans voting 67% yes, Independents voting 63% yes, democrats voting 36% yes; Conservatives have a 69% yes vote... moderates 51% and libs 38%; lowest income (<$40K ) 60%, $40K 52%, $80K> 55%; and 53 to 57% yes in all regions.

I-1082 - Private Industrial Insurance:

33% - Yes

40% - No

Male support/op about equal at 40%, Female opposition 40% to support at 28%. No age group is over 50%. No party affiliation is over 50% in either support or opposition. Only liberal opposition exceeds 55%, no other group for or against exceeds 50 %. No income group supports or opposes over 50% and no region supports or opposes.

High undecided at this point will historically break for the "no" side.

I-1098 The Bill Gates Sr. Income Tax.

34% - Yes

56% - No

Opposition: both genders and all ages, GOP'ers voting 78% no, Indies 60% no, liberals 30% no. Conservative no rate 70%; Moderate 51%, libs 30%; Lowest income opposes at 51%, $40K at 54% and $80K at 59%; and voting know is across all regions from 54% in Seattle to 59% in Eastern WA.

I-1100 Get the state out of the liquor biz altogether.

48% -Yes

40% - No.

Only males at 58% yes are +50, Support at all age groups is around 50%, only Independents supporting are +50 at 57%; Conservatives are at +52%, no other ideology is at +50; and only those at >$80K are +50 at 55%. Metro Seattle is the only area at +50; 52%.

I-1105 Keep the state in the liquor business but change how it does
it.

36% - Yes

51% - No

Only women opposition at 54% break the +50. Older women have strong opposition at 50% plus (>50 y.o.) Democrats at 60% no, all other groups are -50. (That is, below 50% in support or opposition) Moderates (54% and libs(60%) are the strongest no. Opposition is around 50% at all income levels. Strongest opposition is in Western Washington (By far the most government employees.)

Referendum 52 - The union full employment act

38% - Yes

46% - No.

Strongest opposition are men at 55% no. Ages 50+ are 51% "no". 66% of GOP is no, 62% of dems are "yes. Indies break "no" 49 to 33. Conservatives no is at 66%; lib yes at 58%, by income, strongest opposition is at <$40K. By region, strongest opposition is Western Washington at 53% no.

The rejection of most fringe left positions doesn't bode well for the left in this election.

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