Saturday, February 22, 2014

Opposition takes Kiev... what will Russia do?

The end for the current regime began yesterday when police forces defected en masse to the opposition and the military stayed in the barracks.

The question now is this: what will Putin do?

In the past, he's shown no difficulty ignoring borders to get what he wants: his invasion of Georgia a few years back comes to mind, an effort that cemented the northern province's status as a Russian satellite.

At this point, I would say that his reaction to losing control over this situation is only a measured response because of the Olympics... and once those are over... I expect Vlad to be Vlad.

In the past, he's used old fashioned methods to eliminate the opposition:

Ukraine's Yushchenko poisoned by dioxin

December 12, 2004 - 2:03PM

This combination photo depicts Viktor Yushchenko, Ukraine's opposition leader and top presidential candidate, before and after his dioxin poisoning.
Photo: AP

Ukrainian presidential candidate Viktor Yushchenko was poisoned with dioxin that could have been put in his food, but he should be able to work normally and his dramatic facial disfigurement should heal, doctors said.

Yushchenko was in satisfactory condition and was expected to be released from Vienna's private Rudolfinerhaus clinic today or tomorrow to return to campaigning in Ukraine, said hospital director Dr Michael Zimpfer.

Yushchenko, who faces Viktor Yanukovich in a rerun of Ukraine's disputed presidential runoff on December 26, has claimed he was poisoned by Ukrainian authorities. They have denied it.
In Ukraine, campaigners for Yushchenko's opponent rejected suggestions he could have been involved in the poisoning.

There is ''no logic in such an accusation'', said Taras Chornovyl, Yanukovich's campaign manager.
Yushchenko fell ill on September 5 and has been treated at the Vienna clinic twice before, but it was tests performed since he checked in on Friday night that provided conclusive evidence of the poisoning, Zimpfer said.

I suppose that beats Obama's method of getting rid of the opposition: the more subtle use of government agencies and, well, drones.

I would be stunned if the Russian military didn't incur The Ukraine by COB next week.

Time, of course, will tell.

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