Thursday, October 18, 2012

It's pretty much over: absent an "October Surprise" showing Romney molesting a Girl Scout troop, he will win. What does that mean down-ticket?

Look.  It's pretty much all over for Obama.  The only campaigns I've seen run worse are those of McKenna, Dole and McCain.

Romney's got the "mo," everything that empty suited idiot in the White House has touched has... or is... turning to dust.  The Gallup poll shows Romney plus 7 at 52, an increase of 1 overnight.  No one at 50+ at this point has ever lost: given the incompetence, ineptitude and lies of the Obama campaign, there's no reason to believe that this pattern will be broken here.

Romney is up or closing in most of the Battleground states.  Obama's multiple failures will reverberate for generations... and it's likely to damage black leftist politicians for those next generations, because the inevitable comparisons between a black democrat and arguable the worst president of the last century will be constant and will eat away at any black democrat running. 

It's going to be a long... long.... LOOOOOOOOONG time until we ever see another black president.

Every element of government has been a complete disaster under this moron's control.  And now that people are paying attention?

He's done.

ALL polling shows an upward trend for Romney and a downward trend for Barry O.  Romney appears to be peaking at precisely the right time.

So, with a Romney White House increasingly likely, what does that mean down-ticket?

Even polling in that God-awful Missouri US Senate race shows that Claire McKaskill is going to lose to that moron Akin... showing the growing dislike of leftists and the damage they've done to this country.

Will Romney have coat-tails?    Will the GOP take the US Senate?  Will those coat tails extend to Washington State?

I move the US Senate to a likely take-over.  Along with Romney, the Missouri seat, written off in August, is now going GOP, in part because of the evident strength of the top of the ticket. That was the critical element of the election.

I expect the Senate to either be 50-50 or 51-49.  A tie, of course, means that with a Vice President Ryan, the GOP would control the Senate.

That control would be tenuous, of course.  Boldt/McKenna-type RINO prima-donas will make it the typical equivalent of cat herding at a rodeo.

What are the impacts here?

The enthusiasm gap, between likely GOP voters and likely democrat voters, is huge.  As Barry sinks every day, how many of his fellow travelers is he taking with him?

My pre-election forecast here locally, that when the dust settles from the election, Clark County will be represented in Olympia by 3 democrats... and 12 Republicans remains in tact.

My belief that McKenna will lose is not quite as firm: I now mive this to a toss up with a slight left lean.

The stupidity that has marked McKenna's bizarre effort to out-democrat the democrats is still there. 

We're told that Inslee has lost every newspaper endorsement... yet, McKenna is still behind... which just goes to show how worthless those endorsements actually are.  McKenna will be facing a 140,000 vote gap out of King County alone: the desire to vote for Romney will not translate nearly as much to McKenna or Dunn... so the top of the state ticket will not benefit from Obama's horrific effort as it otherwise might, simply because rpelacing Obama with a McKenna or Dunn or Finkbeiner wouldn't result in any noticeable difference.

Locally, Romney is certainly helping both Mielke and Madore in their commissioner races; both Tanner and Boldt are members of the wrong party and in lock step on their positions.... I rate both races a right-leaning toss ups.

This being Washington State, the coat tails of the ultimate Romney victory will be short... but they will be there.

And no one will be more thrilled than I that this election will be over.

1 comment:

Jack said...

Black men should be very angry with Obozo for screwing up the chance to show that a Black man actually has the ability to run the greatest nation in the world.Obozo has put all Black men in a bad light.The Democrats have worked really hard to keep Blacks in a bad light.It's what Demorats do.