Why I don’t believe the hamas agreement will work.

A few months back, Trump was pushing Putin on a peace deal that would have permanently partitioned Ukraine into two separate entities, one in the Western sphere of influence, and the other permanently into the Russian camp. (The three western districts of Ukraine now occupied by the Russians, along with the Crimea that Obama gave them) the nexus of a minerals-for-peace deal. Not unlike the Czechoslovakian partition. Not unlike the partition of Poland post German invasion. (Few are aware that the Soviets were, effectively, bought by the Germans by giving them about half of Poland to occupy.)

I knew then, and repeatedly stated, that Trump was getting played.

Was he?  How much of that agreement is now in force?

None.

Much like this so-called deal with hamas terrorists, LLC.

Even the left seems giddy at the prospect of ending the war those they so whole-heartedly support actually started some 2 years ago, killing 1200, maiming 3400 and kidnapping 250 or so. In one day.

Rape and murder were the order of the day, and Gazans celebrated much like Germans did when they invaded Poland some 11 months after then Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain told the world he had achieved “peace in our time.”

Everyone seems focused on what we know of the “agreement.”

Some things are obvious:

1. Hamas exists to eradicate Israel. It’s a part of their charter as an organization.

“The original Charter identified Hamas as the Muslim Brotherhood in Palestine and described its members to be god-fearing Muslims raising the banner of Jihad (armed struggle) in "the face of the oppressors". The 1988 charter defines the struggle to be against the Jews and calls for the eventual creation of an Islamic Palestinian state in all of former Mandatory Palestine, and the obliteration or dissolution of Israel.[4][5][6]”

2. Israel essentially gave up the Gaza strip, taken from Egypt in the 6 Day War of 1967. In 2005 in return for “peace.” Agreements were signed at that time that led Israel to engage in the forced removal of 10,000 Israeli settlers from the region.

“Palestinian Israeli withdrawal agreement 2005

The Palestinian-Israeli withdrawal agreement of 2005 involved Israel's unilateral disengagement from the Gaza Strip and the evacuation of Israeli settlements. This agreement was part of a broader peace process aimed at reducing conflict and shifting governance to the Palestinian Authority. However, the disengagement plan was controversial and led to Hamas's takeover of Gaza, turning the region into a hub for terrorism. The agreement aimed to improve Palestinian freedom of movement and economic activity within the Palestinian territories and to open the Rafah Crossing on the Gaza-Egypt border. Wikipedia+4”

3.  Since the so-called “land for peace” deal went through, the allegedly “peaceful” area of gaza has been the source of over 18,000 rocket and mortar attacks against Israel. Estimates are the 12% of these attacks resulted in misfires where the rockets actually landed on their fellow gazans, resulting in between 100 to 300 Gazan casualties.

“Since 2005, when Israel withdrew from Gaza, Hamas and other Gaza-based terrorist organizations have fired more than 18,000 rockets and mortars at Israel. These rockets have a variety of ranges, but overall, many can now hit a majority of Israel’s central and southern population centers, including Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Ashkelon, Ashdod, Beersheba, and Rehovot. Hamas’ launches have been erratic, however. There have been as few as one rocket fired at a time, to up to thousands launched within hours or even days. 

4. On October 7, 2023, the worst massacre against Jews since World War Two took place from these same gazans.  Gazans and others in the Muslim world celebrated for days at spilling the blood of and frequently raping Israeli civilians, including children.

“The attacks began with a barrage of at least 4,300 rockets launched into Israel^[31][32][33] and vehicle-transported and powered paraglider incursions into Israel.^[34][35] Hamas militants breached the Gaza–Israel barrier, attacking military bases and massacring civilians in 21 communities, including Be'eri, Kfar Aza, Nir Oz, Netiv Haasara, and Alumim. According to an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) report that revised the estimate on the number of attackers, 6,000 Gazans breached the border in 119 locations into Israel, including 3,800 from the elite Nukhba forces and 2,200 civilians and other militants.^[36][31][32] Additionally, the IDF report estimated 1,000 Gazans fired rockets from the Gaza Strip, bringing the total number of participants on Hamas's side to 7,000.^[36][31][32]

In total, 1,195 people were killed by the attacks:^[24][h] 736 Israeli civilians (including 38 children),^[41][42] 79 foreign nationals, and 379 members of the security forces.^[43][i][44] While attending the Nova music festival, 364 civilians were killed and many more wounded.^[45][46] At least 14 Israeli civilians were killed by the IDF's use of the Hannibal Directive.^[47][48] About 250 Israeli civilians and soldiers were taken as hostages to the Gaza Strip.^{[33][49][50][51]} Dozens of cases of rape and sexual assault reportedly occurred, but Hamas officials denied the involvement of their fighters.
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Israel, rightfully, and finally, reoccupied the gaza strip, to seek out and destroy those involved in the planning and execution of the October 7 massacre.

It's clear they should have reoccupied the area the moment terrorists began implementing the 1988 hamas charter by firing missiles and mortars into Israel. Why they allowed the terrorist scum running gaza to fester to the point where their direct action would result in the spilling of blood on a massive scale is an as yet unanswered question.
Questions remain vis the issue of this massive intelligence failure of both Israel’s vaunted intelligence organs as well as the intel organizations of the United States.

Now, we find ourselves celebrating Trump’s efforts to implement peace in the region.

On the surface, this is a huge accomplishment. But the surface doesn’t concern me as much as the fine print.

ALL of those involved in the destruction of 2 years ago, from the planning to the logistics to the actual execution must be hunted down and removed. ALL of hamas must receive the same treatment they wished to impose on Israel, including hamas supporters.

Israel MUST reoccupy the entire area, permanently, and remove even the last vestiges of hamas control, not unlike the steps taken by the Allies at the end of World War Two.

ALL those involved with hamas need to be held accountable for both their actions and their associations, again, not unlike Allied actions at the end of World War Two.

And sadly, with hamas maintaining control over at least half of gaza, this agreement is doomed to failure.

We need to find out what US responsibilities are in the region. How much this is going to cost the taxpayers, for example. Does this deal involve military commitments on our part?

Where, when and how much?

And ultimately, when this agreement fails, as it will inevitably fail, then what?

These actions must take place for there to be any chance of actual peace in the region.

Anything less merely puts off the inevitable violations of the agreement. What do we do then?

This group, their financiers (Iran) and their supporters (most gazans at the beginning of Israeli retaliation, now? Not so much…) will not stop on their sworn mission of the destruction of Israel. At best, it will merely be a pause.

There’s a reason the phrase “we do not negotiate with terrorists” actually exists.

This is one of those times. And I fear both the US and Israel will regret this agreement which will automatically handcuff both us… and Israel… when it’s inevitably violated.