Wednesday, October 31, 2012

UPDATED: Competitive race predictions.

President: Romney

Governor: RINO Rob McKenna

Lieutenant Governor: Owen

AG: RINO Reagan Dunn

Commissioners:  No idea

17th District Senate: Benton

18th District House:  Adrian Cortes..... but

Legislative representation for Clark County: 12 Republican, 3 Democrat.

Mitt Romney: 

Face it, that clueless moron in the White House makes many long for the days of who had been arguably, up to now, the worst president in history: Jimmy Carter.

Every element of Obama's presidency is in the toilet.  There's little chance another black democrat politician of any stripe will be elected to the presidency for generations, because this lying incompetent screwed it up for blacks for that long.

Not only has he been an abject failure, he's poisoned the well for those who will come after him, because no matter who the democrats run, their mantra will have to be "I'm not Obama."  And that ain't gonna be enough to get elected on.

Romney is surging everywhere... even here... even Oregon.  And that surge combined with normal people's hatred of what Obama and the democrats have done to this country will be enough for Romney to win.

RINO Rob McKenna:

I, personally, would rather have Dixy Lee Ray.  But that's just me.

RINO Rob is an embarrassment, and there would likely be no difference between his governance and that clown Inslee.  But he's got an "R" after his name and those that have that, even if, like Boldt, they're flat lying about it, are likely to do very well this time around.

Brad Owen

Brad's a crook.  Thousands of dollars have disappeared from his office (Don't know if he took it) business has been steered his wife's way, he scammed a job for a buddy of his that he raped the taxpayer's with and which resulted in a 35% plus jack in his office budget a few years back.

But Brad ain't Finkbeiner, the penultimate RINO, Pflug-like in his positions... and that will be enough.

RINO Reagan Dunn

Has even less integrity than Boldt, and I didn't think that was possible.  He read the writing on the wall, and STUPIDLY (not to mention, dishonestly) underwent an election year epiphiny and swapped over to becoming a gay-marriage supporting slimeball.

That said, the "R" after his name is likely to get him elected as Republicans roll out in droves and ignorantly vote for this clown.

Commissioners.

The only one of the lot I support is Mielke, and Tom's non-campaign has been a complete disappointment.

He's effectively made no effort to fund raise, built no organization a year ago when he needed to, spends 100 times too much effort on those waste of time signs that NEVER GOT HIM ELECTED TO ANYTHING and he failed to go up on TV.

His opponent, Joe Tanner, has morphed into the typical democrat pol, parsing his words, hiding his positions and trying his best to move as far to the right as his downtown democrat masters will allow.

But he has outhustled Mielke in every imaginable way.  And for that, Tom has precisely zero excuse.

That said, Tanner supports the CRC, supports replacing the bridge, supports light rail and supports tolls.  And then, he lies about it.

But I guarantee you this: If elected, Joe Tanner will do absolutely nothing to stop any of it..  And that is the precise same thing as rabidly supporting it.

Tanner, of course, is up on TV.  Mielke, as I stated, is not.  And the Rule of Television applies:

The side up on TV has always won.

Mielke is right on the issues... most every voter likely knows that.  Tanner has been shucking and jiving on the CRC because he likely knows it's the 3rd rail of politics around here, and the result is he refuses to publicly commit to the positions those inside baseball knows he has.

This election then, boils down to this:  issues... versus television.

Right, Marc?  Right,. Jamie?

I oppose Marc Boldt, my own brother-in-law.  In any other community, that would be a huge story, and the rag knows it.  But they'd melt into pig iron before they'd let anyone know, because Boldt, a democrat, is their guy on their betrayal of the people of Clark County.

Kicked out of the GOP for becoming the very definition of the phrase "RINO," Boldt has sold his soul to a political segment who usually wouldn't wiz on him to put him out if he was on fire.

They've funded his campaign, and showing his increasingly evident political ineptitude, they've actually taken it over and are running it.

That's very bad for the likelihood of Boldt's success.  Democrats are losing everywhere this go-round, and when you lay down with dogs, etc.

Even the democratian, which rabidly supports him because of his utterly moronic support of the CRC scam, thinks he's an idiot.
On the I.Q. front Madore also has the advantage. Boldt is no dummy and has done very well at learning the issues. But if you're looking for the most likely candidate to win "Jeopardy," it's Madore.
They've even demanded Boldt's resignation in the past.

But in the past, he wasn't carrying their water like Gunga Din.

This, however, is the corollary to the Tanner-Mielke race:  if the side going up on TV always wins, then obviously, Madore, who has spent enough to buy his own TV station (yes, an exaggeration, but you get the gist of it) will obviously win.

In Tanner - Mielke, Mielke's right on the issues.

In Boldt - Madore, Madore is right on the issues AND has spent bank on TV.  (I haven't seen any of his commercials, though, so I don't have a lot of faith in the idea that he's been sending out the right messaging) which likely means that Boldt is done.

And if he is done, the message is this:  selling out to the special interests who now own you because it's convenient for them to do so will only get you so far.

I want Tom to win, because Tom is best for this county.  That Boldt ignored him the last 4 years isn't a sign of anything bad on Tom's part: it's a sign that Boldt sold out to the left.... and I would like nothing better then to see him pay for selling us out on this, and selling us out on that empty-suited waste of skin Herrera, who is unfit for elective office anywhere.

It will be hard for people to vote "no" on jacking the CTran tax and then turn around and vote for candidates like Boldt and Tanner who want it implemented.

And, in fact, here's a friendly reminder of Marc's efforts in that regard:




Just sayin'.

Don Benton

Probst has proven himself to be the typical leftist slime the insiders have long knew he would be.  And this ain't the year for that.

A vote for Probst is a vote for all of the other tax and fee increases that dillwad has rammed down our throats, as well as a vote for the fringe-left Seattle whack jobs they inevitably appoint to be Chairs in the Senate.

Good luck with that.

Adrian Cortes

Up until now, I've been a big supporter of Cortes.  But now, I'm starting to hear it.

I urged Adrian to get back into the race: it was self evident that he should weeks before that actually happened.  He dithered, he waffled, he failed to show that he was a man of decision.

One of the reasons I oppose Brandon Vick is that Vick was mailing it in, seeing the election as an entitlement instead of something he needed to work for.

Now, I look at Adrian's PDC's and I hear cricket's chirping.

As of this past Sunday, he'd doing precisely dick in the area of fund-raising; he's frequently not showing up, and he hasn't raised a dime in 10 days.

That's what we've had with Vick... who couldn't even make his own appointment happen to his own seat in the legislature.

That Brandon was foolish enough to mention his trainwreck of a tenure as party chair in the voter pamphlet will cost him the election, as no democrat will vote for him and given his abysmal time running the GOP and his colossal mishandling of the Boldt situation (Which needed to happen but which did NOT need to happen publicly)  most independents will pass as well... and that will likely be enough to keep Vick from being elected... ending a political career before it started... and now leaving us with a choice between two below average, don't really care candidates.

Most of this consists of two suppositions: the Romney wave, which is lifting the RINO Rob boat will have a similar effect down ticket, and that the people of this community hate the CRC.

If I'm right, then these outcomes are pretty close to on target.

If I'm wrong?

Then not so much.

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