Monday, September 26, 2011

Zogby poll: Cain now has a huge lead.

Having choked like the Washington State Cougars, Herman Cain now has amassed a huge lead among likely GOP primary voters:

IBOPE Zogby Poll: Perry Plummets to 18%; Trails Cain For Lead Among GOP Primary Voters

Obama's Overall Approval Steady at 42%

UTICA, NY--Rick Perry has tumbled by more than 20 percentage points over the past month among Republican presidential primary voters and is now second to Herman Cain, who leads the field with 28%.

Mitt Romney received little benefit from Perrys fall, garnering 17% of the vote for third place.

As for President Barack Obama, both his job approval (42%) and the percentage who believe he deserves re-election (37%) are little changed from recent polls, but he does seem to be winning back some supporters who have been disappointed in his job performance.

These results are from an IBOPE Zogby interactive poll conducted Sept. 23-26 of all likely voters and of likely Republican primary voters.

Announced GOP Candidates (GOP primary voters)

If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?


CandidateSept 26Sept 12Aug 29July 25July 11June 30June 21
Herman Cain28%12%8%18%16%15%15%
Rick Perry18%37%41%----
Mitt Romney17%14%12%17%15%14%15%
Ron Paul11%11%11%11%13%11%13%
Newt Gingrich6%2%3%1%4%2%2%
Jon Huntsman, Jr.5%3%3%3%4%4%2%
Michele Bachmann4%7%9%25%28%34%24%
Rick Santorum2%3%3%5%3%7%5%
Gary Johnson1%1%<1%<1%1%<1%2%
Fred Karger<1%1%<1%1%<1%0%0%
Other2%2%8%3%4%1%4%
Not sure6%8%2%9%10%8%13%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding

This poll was conducted after Perry's most recent subpar debate performance last Thursday, but the survey was still in the field when Cain won a Florida straw poll on Sunday. Cain was the top choice of only 8% a month ago.

Michele Bachmann continues her drop in our polling, falling from a first-place 34% on June 30 to just 4% now. While some other announced GOP candidates have had large fluctuations in their standing with party voters, since June 21 Romney has remained steadily between 12% and 17%.

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