Thursday, December 17, 2009

Impacts on the 2010: the Tea Party drama.

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Recently, polls have been published that show people who are identifying themselves as member of the Tea Party as opposed to members of the democrat party or the Republicans.

an NBC/WSJ poll published yesterday showed the following:

Republicans... 28% favorable... 43% negative

Democrats..... 35% favorable... 45% negative

Tea Party ..... 41% favorable... 23% negative

A Rasmussen poll published Monday:

In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP.
Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.
Later on in the article, the following was published:

Recent polling shows that 73% of Republican voters believe their leaders in Washington are out of touch with the party base.
Put this information together, and what do you get?

The last factoid provided by Rasmussen is, if anything, understated.

The question becomes: what is the impact of all of this in 2010?

Party elite types on either side would be foolish to reject this out of hand. Those candidates who are capable of tapping into the growing rage by an abused electorate will win in landslides previously unknown.

Faaaascinating stuff as the models are rewritten.
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2 comments:

  1. It is interesting to watch the evolution of the political system, although somewhat scary as well. In a lot of ways I see some of the major radio players such as Hannity, Limbaugh and Beck as the instrumental players in this. Although they are extreme in some of their positions and I dislike the "mocking" that comes across in a lot of the programming, they are driving home some good points. They keep the issues on the front burner, incite people to react and in turn there are enough people writing, tea partying and emailing Washington that changes are being made. Something has to get through to these people.

    There was a fellow on Hannity today that was talking about the power of being present in the Oval Office and how it changes people...not the power of the president, but the power of being in such a historic place. He said it has a major effect on politicians and that may be true. However, even at that, I believe the system to be corrupt. The Senate doesn't even follow its own rules when they don't want to, so perhaps the solution would be to vote out every incumbent and start with totally fresh people. That would be something to shoot for and it would certainly send a message.

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  2. The GOP has no one to blame for many being disillusioned and seeking greener grass.

    Instead of splintering off in all different directions, though, I'd rather see us take the party back and rid ourselves of the RINO's.

    The problem is, though, RINO's are deeply entrenched at the top.

    Ideally, all the disillusioned would gather together under one banner when voting.

    Reality is they will scatter to the winds and Democrats will retain power.

    And again, I blame the RINO leadership and machine that fronts weak candidates like Jaime Herrera or Jon Russell.

    What can we do but keep exposing them all?

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